Saturday, April 3, 2010
...they're in whack
Jason Zweig's WSJ column this weekend discusses the first quarter's gains and quotes Ted Aronson (of Aronson Johnson Ortiz) who remarked that "valuations aren't out of whack; they're in whack." Valuations, of course, are a fundamental ingredient in the measurement of performance. Part of the problem with the sub-prime mortgage driven crisis which we are making our way out of was the inability to properly value many issues.
I'm about halfway through listening to Gregory Zuckerman's The Greatest Trade Ever, which tells the story of how John Paulson was able to make billions of dollars by shorting the mortgage market. It's a fascinating book which delves into both the personalities of the various players as well as the investments which were made. That market experience has, of course, brought to the surface questions about models and the various risk measures, such as Value at Risk, which were being used.
How can these activities not further strengthen the value that our industry provides? Performance measurement remains a critical component of the market. And while we can debate how risk should be measured and managed, there's no doubt that it's not going to go away. We're in an exciting segment that will continue to be a fascinating and exciting one for many years to come.